Thursday, February 25, 2010

Lamido Sanusi’s reforms, a floating particle?



Isn’t it strange that after seven months, the reforms introduced 

by the Central Bank Governor, Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, into the 

Nigerian banking sector can be adjudged as a floating particle? 

A strange object in the sky with no clear direction, tossed here 

and there by every gust of wind! That is exactly the imagery painted

 by his employer, the Federal Government of Nigeria, after what 

can be described as careful examination of his performance.

Background

Sanusi, a risk management expert, was hired by President Umaru

 Musa Yar'Adua on June 3, 2009, shortly after his nomination was 

ratified by the Senate. He replaced Chukwuma Soludo, a professor

 of Economics, whose major achievement in office was the consolidation

 of the banking sector. Before the Bobshell, let’s take a quick snapshot of

 his views during his screening at the National Assembly and compared

 them with his performance.                                                       

“What we need do is to build on corporate governance and the risk 

management system with individual banks, disclosure requirement; 

ensure that banks actually recognize their losses”                                                                                                                      

Views                                                                                                                          

On risk management: "Risk management is ultimately about asking

 yourself when the terms are good, what could go wrong ? When the 

capital market was going up and banks were lending to the capital market, 

somebody should have asked: what happens if the market crashes? 

Will these banks survive? The risk managers in the banks did not ask those

questions; the regulators didn't ask those questions.                                                                                                            

On consolidation: "I think it is a true statement that a good bank requires a lot 

of capital. But having said that, consolidation was not and should never have

been seen as an end in itself because while it is true that a good bank needs

a lot of capital, it is not true that every bank that has capital is a good bank. 

How you use that capital, how you manage it, whether that capital is placed 

in the hands of fit and proper persons who should be trusted with people's 

money are the critical questions that should always be asked. What we need 

to do is take consolidation as a foundation; now, build on the other things that

were actually set up in the first two-point agenda - the corporate governance 

and the risk management system with individual banks, disclosure requirement; 

ensure that banks actually recognize their losses. When people talk about stock 

market and confidence, we all know that there is N1 trillion out there. That number 

has to show up as non-performing loans; if they are not showing up, people do not 

trust the numbers. We need to ask: where are those non-performing loans and we 

need to enforce provision and if banks need more capital, then we should recapitalise

those banks. But the solution is not to pretend that they are there and they are strong. 

I think the system as a whole is non-capitalised. I think the liquidity in the system as a 

whole is good, but I think there will be a few weak points in that system.There are a few

banks that are weak spots and we need to help those banks correct the problems; 

otherwise the system will not regain the confidence."                                                                                                   

On lending to Small and Medium Scale Enterprises: "It is always extremely 

important to remember that the financial system is a transmission mechanism for

monetary policy to the real sector. It does not provide other access. 

The constant theme was that if you cannot show that your economic policies

have improved the wellbeing of the majority of the people, you cannot claim that you

have succeeded. I think it was valid in 2005; it is valid today and it will be valid 

tomorrow.”                                                                                                    

         

On Soludo: “In terms of the overall direction and the overall policies, 

I think he has done a very good job. Whether I will succeed as much as him, 

we have to wait for the next five years to judge.”                                                                                                

Scorecard                                                                                                                              

On August 14,2009, he sacked the Managing Directors(MDs) of five banks: 

Erastus Akingbola of Intercontinental Bank, Cecilia Ibru of Oceanic Bank, 

Okey Nwosu of Finbank, Sebastian Adigwe of Afribank and Barth Ebong 

of Union Bank. Offence? Their banks failed stress test. He arrested and 

is currently prosecuting them; he published list of bank debtors, injected N420 billion

 as bailout funds and appointed new management teams for the banks. 

On October 2, 2009, the Managing Directors of three other banks kissed 

the dust for same offence. They are Francis Atuche of Bank PHB; 

Charles Ojo of Spring Bank and Mr Ike Oraekwuotu of ETB. He also 

announced new management teams and injection of N200 billion. 

He ordered Wema and Unity Bank to recapitalize by next June and 

prescribed 10-year tenure for bank MDs.                                                                   

Ripples

Sack gale in banks. Banks’  refusal to lend to businesses led to fuel 

scarcity, shut down of companies’ , cash crunch in the economy 

and worsening of the unemployment rate in the country.  

We want a blueprint of the reforms  to be sure that its actions are not just taken ‘as the spirit directs ’                                                                                                                                                                                 

Verdict                                                                                                      

           

Because his policies were adjudged to have failed so far to improve 

the wellbeing of the majority of the people, the Federal Government 

asked the Central Bank to furnish it with the blueprint on the banking 

reforms to allow assessment of the direction of its policies and also 

ensure that they are in line with government’s long-term economic programme. 

Disclosing this, the Minister of  State for Finance, Mr Remi Babalola, said that 

Sanusi’s employer wants “ a blueprint of the reforms to know where the CBN 

is headed and more importantly to be sure that its actions are not just taken 

‘as the spirit directs’.”The minister said the government was fully in support 

of the CBN reforms in line with its strategic focus on the growth and development 

of the economy but added that government was trying to back the CBN to the 

extent that its actions do not jeopardise the confidence level in the economy. 

Babalola stated that the Federal Government had in the past abandoned some 

crucial decisions to the CBN in the name of protecting its autonomy, noting 

that the situation contributed to the crisis in the sector, adding that the government 

would “now be more involved”. Does this mean that the man, Sanusi, 

has no clear road map on his mission at CBN? Or does it mean that his 

blueprint for the sector is just a fly leaf? Sanusi, over to you.

Jonathan , has ultimate good luck come?



 

Some people were born lucky, some have good luck thrust

onto them , while some achieve good luck through good (hard) 

work. Or how else do we describe the man called 

Goodluck Jonathan, the acting Nigerian president and

Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces ? Check him up:

Good luck all the way

Shortly after he was pronounced the Acting president on 

February 9, 2010, these text message hit town though one

can not guarantee its veracity:

“Goodluck was assistant head boy in primary school, the

 head boy got expelled, he took over.Goodluck was 

assistant senior prefect in secondary school, the senior prefect 

died, Goodluck took over. Goodluck was deputy local government 

chairman, the chairman got impeached for corruption, Goodluck took 

over.Goodluck was deputy governor to Alamieyeseigha, we all 

know that story. Goodluck was vice to Yar’Adua. Pericarditis.”

 

“if you are determined and you have aspiration, there is nothing you cannot achieve. Whatever you believe in will come to pass”

 

Why did you name him Goodluck?

Father: “Since my parents gave birth to me, 

I have always deemed myself a lucky person. 

And in several instances, I have excelled where 

others could not. I have never failed in my life. 

When I gave birth to my son, I instinctively realised

that this child had that element of fortune as well. 

There was a day I looked at him and decided that 

this boy has good luck; I just said to myself, this boy

 is a lucky boy. So, I decided to call him 'Goodluck'. 

if you are determined and you have aspiration, there is

 nothing you cannot achieve. Whatever you believe in

 will come to pass.I really don't consider his name to be 

instrumental to his recent elevation in life by God. 

I gave him the name long ago when it was still very difficult 

to predict that he would become a deputy governor, 

governor and then vice president.” (hmm)                                                                                                       

Mother: “I was happy when I gave birth to a son. 

Because we were overwhelmed with joy, 

we decided to name him Goodluck .When I gave birth to Jonathan, 

his grandmother (my mother) visited us and carried the child 

in her hand. And after staring at him for a long while, she beckoned 

on me and said this boy was going to be a great man. My mother said:

"Look, this boy will be the likes of Azikiwe," who was then a foremost 

nationalist in Nigeria. And so, she named him 'Azikiwe' after this great 

Nigerian. We struggled hard to educate him. Sometimes, we even had to 

borrow money to pay for his school fees. He was able to go to school 

out of our sheer struggle.”

Manners maketh man                                                                                                 

Mother: “Right from the first day that Goodluck was born till date, 

I cannot recall him fighting with other kids in the community. 

He has always lived a very humble life.Throughout his youthful days, 

I never received any complaint from anyone in our village that 

Goodluck had done one despicable thing or the other. 

I never heard of such complaint before. As I said, he has 

always been humble and gentle.” Testifying to this ,

his former boss, Dieprieye Alamieyeseigha described him 

as possessing intelligence, strength and tact. According to him, 

Jonathan has impressive attributes and rare disposition. 

Reacting to his recent elevation, Jonathan said: 

“The circumstances in which I find myself assuming office as 

Acting President of our country are uncommon….”. Yes, I agree. 

Good luck  like your own is uncommon, it is very rare to come by.

Our prayer: May  good luck never elude our nation again.

 

Much ado about deregulation


Following the joint decision of the organized labour and 

the Federal Government on Monday, February 22, 2010,

to set up a committee to iron out the grey areas

of the much-touted deregulation of the downstream oil

sector, it is crystal clear now that the end of 

fuel price control system is just around the corner.

 

"subsidy provides incentives for smuggling into other

neighbouring countries where the prices are higher" 

Subsidy going...going...

The campaign to sensitize Nigerians on the need for

deregulation and the removal of petroleum subsidy is gathering

momentum at the moment. Almost every newspaper carries, on

daily basis, advertorial by a group which called itself

Movement for Economic Emancipation giving reasons why the subsidy

should go. This is necessary since several attempts by successive

governments  in the past to yank off the amenity have

met stiff opposition from the public, labour and opposition parties.

Benefits

From 2006 to 2009, about N2.5 trillion was said

to have been spent on subsidising petroleum products in

the country .This year, about N600 billion has been

projected as what fuel subsidy will consume. According to

the protagonists of deregulation, this amount could be spent

to fix the nation’s infrastructure problems such as irregular

power supply, bad roads, challenges in aviation sector, comatose

rail system and the broken down refineries. They further

argue that subsidy provides incentives for smuggling into other

neighbouring countries where the prices are higher .As a result,

fuel subsidy is not reaching intended beneficiaries. But the

antagonists would say that its removal would not translate

to a change in the status quo as deregulation would

only raise fuel price and worsen inflation in the country.

They fear that the money that would be saved would

only end up in private pockets rather than using it to

address the infrastructural challenges.

Fuel scarcity

Even without coming on stream of deregulation, Nigerians

have been paying more and are even getting accustomed

to buying fuel above the official pump price of N65 per litre

as a result of scarcity. Just last week, the Department

of Petroleum Resources (DPR) threatened to clamp down on

any filling stations selling fuel above the official rate.

But will this solve the problem? The answer is no.

The DPR official themselves know that if there is any fuel

crisis in the country, the price of fuel shoots up

and goes to the highest bidder.

Solution

Again, government has to address its dependence on imports

which is the root cause of the inadequate supply of the

commodity in the country. That is why many people

are clamouring for this deregulation. But I believe that the

solution still lies in fixing the nation’s refineries.